Market Changes
What is happening NOW
You have seen the for sale signs out longer in front of homes, and I'm sure that you are reading the media--especially if you are a seller. For the first time in over three years, home appreciation is flattening a bit. Down from an 18% increase last year to 5%. This still means that we are in a Seller's Market, but the numbers are influenced by a number of factors.
Inventory has increased since June by 48% in King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties, the first increase since early 2015. The old supply and demand dynamic. Buyers seem to be taking a break from the crazy bidding wars of this spring.
Also of consequence is our lovely summer weather and Seattle area residents taking much-needed vacations before Labor Day. It happens every year but not usually this dramatically.
What this means for buyers is less frenzy and fewer multiple offers, especially in the under $1M price ranges in desirable neighborhoods. This is good news to buyers who were scrambling to secure a home after submitting up to a dozen offers. After two interest rate increases by the FEDS in 2018, the rates are down slightly. Although we have been jaded by interest rates below 4% in recent years, mortgage rates are still historically low. (I remember building my first house in 1981 at 18%).
To sellers, it means that market time is longer and listing prices need to be realistic. This is the time to make sure that your property is well presented and well represented. My team always goes the extra mile to fine tune your home to mint showing condition, marketing to that specific buyer and negotiating to your best interest.
I predicted that the market would stabilize but no need to panic. The dynamics that created the last housing crash are not relevant. A balanced market is 4-5 months of inventory, and we are now between 1.5 and 1.8 (area specific). This is sustainable growth. As long as there is a growing job market (Seattle/Bellevue added 30,000 net jobs through May of 2018) and demand for housing is strong, we should see more movement in September. Labor Day is coming soon.